Information wars in the contemporary world and simulation of news dissemination

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Abstract

The paper considers information wars that are part of modern hybrid conflicts. They were analyzed using computer models that implement the process of information dissemination in social communities. The typology of the most relevant and cited tools made possible to find an effective algorithm for implementing the authors’ agent-oriented model that takes into account individual characteristics of people and allows differentiated assessment of the impact of information messages only on a certain group. Within the framework of computational experiments, the speed of information dissemination in the constructed digital twin of a social network was estimated depending on the change in the number of opinion leaders and the number of initially informed agents, as well as on the decrease in the average level of reputation of network agents. The instrument designed may be used separately, as well as along within the complex models, including demographic and economic components.

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About the authors

I. V. Losik

“Zvezda” (“The Star”) TV and Radio Company of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation; “Heirs of the Winners” Fund for the Preservation of the Cultural and Historical Memory of War Heroes; Lomonosov Moscow State University

Author for correspondence.
Email: iralosiknews@mail.ru

presenter of evening news “Itogi Dnya” (“Results of the Day”) of “Zvezda” (“The Star”) TV and Radio Company of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation; President of “Heirs of the Winners” Fund for the Preservation of the Cultural and Historical Memory of War Heroes; graduate student of the Higher School of Public Audit, Faculty of Lomonosov Moscow State University

Russian Federation, Moscow

S. V. Sidorenko

The Russian Academy of Sciences

Email: sidor@presidium.ras.ru

Department of Scientific & Methodological Supervision and Expert Activity

Russian Federation, Moscow

M. Y. Sidorenko

The Russian Academy of Sciences

Email: myusidorenko@pran.ru

Department of Scientific & Information Activity of the RAS and Interaction with the Scientific & Educational Community; Scientific & Publishing Council

Russian Federation, Moscow

A. R. Bakhtizin

Central Economics and Mathematics Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences; Lomonosov Moscow State University

Email: albert.bakhtizin@gmail.com

Corresponding Member of the Russian Academy of Sciences

Russian Federation, Moscow

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Supplementary files

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2. Fig. 1. Typology of information dissemination models

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3. Fig. 2. Conceptual diagram of the model operation

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4. Fig. 3. Growth rate of informed agents: base case and scenario 1 (abscissa axis – model time steps, ordinate axis – growth rate, %)

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5. Fig. 4. Growth rate of informed agents: base case and scenario 2 (abscissa axis – model time steps, ordinate axis – growth rate, %)

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6. Fig. 5. Growth rate of informed agents: base case and scenario 3 (abscissa axis – model time steps, ordinate axis – growth rate, %)

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7. Fig. 6. Results of the Twitter network study in terms of analyzing the dynamics of discussions of the most attention-grabbing social processes in 2020–2021 (the vertical axis is the number of unique network participants using the corresponding hashtags plotted along one of the horizontal axes) Source: Schawe et al., 2023.

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